← Time Capsule Store Championship
Wind Umbra DianaTier 1
at Time Capsule Store Championship
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-2-1
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.4%
avg ELO +5.7 per match
expected value
55.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1381
· median 1381
· range 1381–1381
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006
Q1 1116
Q3 1306
1388
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.3 |
| Exia | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.1% | -5.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Umbra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
